# -*- coding: utf-8 -*-
# vim: tabstop=4 shiftwidth=4 softtabstop=4
#
# Copyright (C) 2012-2017 GEM Foundation
#
# OpenQuake is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify it
# under the terms of the GNU Affero General Public License as published
# by the Free Software Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or
# (at your option) any later version.
#
# OpenQuake is distributed in the hope that it will be useful,
# but WITHOUT ANY WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of
# MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. See the
# GNU Affero General Public License for more details.
#
# You should have received a copy of the GNU Affero General Public License
# along with OpenQuake. If not, see <http://www.gnu.org/licenses/>.
"""
:mod:`openquake.hazardlib.calc.disagg` contains
:func:`disaggregation` as well as several aggregation functions for
extracting a specific PMF from the result of :func:`disaggregation`.
"""
from __future__ import division
import sys
import warnings
import operator
import collections
import numpy
import scipy.stats
from openquake.baselib.python3compat import raise_, range
from openquake.baselib.performance import Monitor
from openquake.baselib.hdf5 import ArrayWrapper
from openquake.baselib.general import AccumDict, pack, groupby
from openquake.hazardlib.calc import filters
from openquake.hazardlib.imt import from_string
from openquake.hazardlib.geo.geodetic import npoints_between
from openquake.hazardlib.geo.utils import get_longitudinal_extent
from openquake.hazardlib.geo.utils import cross_idl
from openquake.hazardlib.site import SiteCollection
from openquake.hazardlib.gsim.base import ContextMaker
def _imls(curves, poe, imt, imls, rlzi):
if poe is None: # iml_disagg was set
return imls
# else return interpolated intensity measure levels
levels = [numpy.interp(poe, curve[rlzi][imt][::-1], imls[::-1])
if curve else numpy.nan for curve in curves]
return numpy.array(levels) # length N
[docs]def make_iml4(R, iml_disagg, imtls=None, poes_disagg=(None,), curves=()):
"""
:returns: an ArrayWrapper over a 4D array of shape (N, R, M, P)
"""
if imtls is None:
imtls = {imt: [iml] for imt, iml in iml_disagg.items()}
N = len(curves) or 1
M = len(imtls)
P = len(poes_disagg)
arr = numpy.zeros((N, R, M, P))
imts = [from_string(imt) for imt in imtls]
for m, imt in enumerate(imtls):
imls = imtls[imt]
for p, poe in enumerate(poes_disagg):
for r in range(R):
arr[:, r, m, p] = _imls(curves, poe, imt, imls, r)
return ArrayWrapper(arr, dict(poes_disagg=poes_disagg, imts=imts))
[docs]def collect_bin_data(sources, sitecol, cmaker, iml4,
truncation_level, n_epsilons, monitor=Monitor()):
"""
:param sources: a list of sources
:param sitecol: a SiteCollection instance
:param cmaker: a ContextMaker instance
:param iml4: an ArrayWrapper of intensities of shape (N, R, M, P)
:param truncation_level: the truncation level
:param n_epsilons: the number of epsilons
:param monitor: a Monitor instance
:returns: a dictionary (poe, imt, rlzi) -> probabilities of shape (N, E)
"""
# NB: instantiating truncnorm is slow and calls the infamous "doccer"
truncnorm = scipy.stats.truncnorm(-truncation_level, truncation_level)
epsilons = numpy.linspace(truncnorm.a, truncnorm.b, n_epsilons + 1)
acc = AccumDict(accum=[])
for source in sources:
ruptures = source.iter_ruptures()
try:
acc += cmaker.disaggregate(
sitecol, ruptures, iml4, truncnorm, epsilons, monitor)
except Exception as err:
etype, err, tb = sys.exc_info()
msg = 'An error occurred with source id=%s. Error: %s'
msg %= (source.source_id, err)
raise_(etype, msg, tb)
return pack(acc, 'mags dists lons lats'.split())
[docs]def lon_lat_bins(bb, coord_bin_width):
"""
Define bin edges for disaggregation histograms.
Given bins data as provided by :func:`collect_bin_data`, this function
finds edges of histograms, taking into account maximum and minimum values
of magnitude, distance and coordinates as well as requested sizes/numbers
of bins.
"""
west, south, east, north = bb
west = numpy.floor(west / coord_bin_width) * coord_bin_width
east = numpy.ceil(east / coord_bin_width) * coord_bin_width
lon_extent = get_longitudinal_extent(west, east)
lon_bins, _, _ = npoints_between(
west, 0, 0, east, 0, 0,
numpy.round(lon_extent / coord_bin_width + 1))
lat_bins = coord_bin_width * numpy.arange(
int(numpy.floor(south / coord_bin_width)),
int(numpy.ceil(north / coord_bin_width) + 1))
return lon_bins, lat_bins
[docs]def get_shape(bin_edges, sid):
"""
:returns:
the shape of the disaggregation matrix for the given site, of form
(#mags-1, #dists-1, #lons-1, #lats-1, #eps-1)
"""
mag_bins, dist_bins, lon_bins, lat_bins, eps_bins = bin_edges
return (len(mag_bins) - 1, len(dist_bins) - 1,
len(lon_bins[sid]) - 1, len(lat_bins[sid]) - 1, len(eps_bins) - 1)
# this is fast
[docs]def build_disagg_matrix(bdata, bin_edges, sid, mon=Monitor):
"""
:param bdata: a dictionary of probabilities of no exceedence
:param bin_edges: bin edges
:param sid: site index
:param mon: a Monitor instance
:returns: a dictionary key -> matrix|pmf for each key in bdata
"""
with mon('build_disagg_matrix'):
mag_bins, dist_bins, lon_bins, lat_bins, eps_bins = bin_edges
dim1, dim2, dim3, dim4, dim5 = shape = get_shape(bin_edges, sid)
# find bin indexes of rupture attributes; bins are assumed closed
# on the lower bound, and open on the upper bound, that is [ )
# longitude values need an ad-hoc method to take into account
# the 'international date line' issue
# the 'minus 1' is needed because the digitize method returns the
# index of the upper bound of the bin
mags_idx = numpy.digitize(bdata.mags, mag_bins) - 1
dists_idx = numpy.digitize(bdata.dists[:, sid], dist_bins) - 1
lons_idx = _digitize_lons(bdata.lons[:, sid], lon_bins[sid])
lats_idx = numpy.digitize(bdata.lats[:, sid], lat_bins[sid]) - 1
# because of the way numpy.digitize works, values equal to the last bin
# edge are associated to an index equal to len(bins) which is not a
# valid index for the disaggregation matrix. Such values are assumed
# to fall in the last bin
mags_idx[mags_idx == dim1] = dim1 - 1
dists_idx[dists_idx == dim2] = dim2 - 1
lons_idx[lons_idx == dim3] = dim3 - 1
lats_idx[lats_idx == dim4] = dim4 - 1
out = {}
cache = {}
cache_hit = 0
num_zeros = 0
for k, allpnes in bdata.items():
pnes = allpnes[:, sid, :] # shape (U, N, E)
cache_key = pnes.sum()
if cache_key == pnes.size: # all pnes are 1
num_zeros += 1
continue # zero matrices are not transferred
try:
matrix = cache[cache_key]
cache_hit += 1
except KeyError:
mat = numpy.ones(shape)
for i_mag, i_dist, i_lon, i_lat, pne in zip(
mags_idx, dists_idx, lons_idx, lats_idx, pnes):
mat[i_mag, i_dist, i_lon, i_lat] *= pne
matrix = 1. - mat
cache[cache_key] = matrix
out[k] = matrix
# operations, hits, num_zeros
if hasattr(mon, 'cache_info'):
mon.cache_info += numpy.array([len(bdata), cache_hit, num_zeros])
else:
mon.cache_info = numpy.array([len(bdata), cache_hit, num_zeros])
return out
def _digitize_lons(lons, lon_bins):
"""
Return indices of the bins to which each value in lons belongs.
Takes into account the case in which longitude values cross the
international date line.
:parameter lons:
An instance of `numpy.ndarray`.
:parameter lons_bins:
An instance of `numpy.ndarray`.
"""
if cross_idl(lon_bins[0], lon_bins[-1]):
idx = numpy.zeros_like(lons, dtype=numpy.int)
for i_lon in range(len(lon_bins) - 1):
extents = get_longitudinal_extent(lons, lon_bins[i_lon + 1])
lon_idx = extents > 0
if i_lon != 0:
extents = get_longitudinal_extent(lon_bins[i_lon], lons)
lon_idx &= extents >= 0
idx[lon_idx] = i_lon
return numpy.array(idx)
else:
return numpy.digitize(lons, lon_bins) - 1
[docs]def disaggregation(
sources, site, imt, iml, gsim_by_trt, truncation_level,
n_epsilons, mag_bin_width, dist_bin_width, coord_bin_width,
source_filter=filters.source_site_noop_filter):
"""
Compute "Disaggregation" matrix representing conditional probability of an
intensity mesaure type ``imt`` exceeding, at least once, an intensity
measure level ``iml`` at a geographical location ``site``, given rupture
scenarios classified in terms of:
- rupture magnitude
- Joyner-Boore distance from rupture surface to site
- longitude and latitude of the surface projection of a rupture's point
closest to ``site``
- epsilon: number of standard deviations by which an intensity measure
level deviates from the median value predicted by a GSIM, given the
rupture parameters
- rupture tectonic region type
In other words, the disaggregation matrix allows to compute the probability
of each scenario with the specified properties (e.g., magnitude, or the
magnitude and distance) to cause one or more exceedences of a given hazard
level.
For more detailed information about the disaggregation, see for instance
"Disaggregation of Seismic Hazard", Paolo Bazzurro, C. Allin Cornell,
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 89, pp. 501-520,
April 1999.
:param sources:
Seismic source model, as for
:mod:`PSHA <openquake.hazardlib.calc.hazard_curve>` calculator it
should be an iterator of seismic sources.
:param site:
:class:`~openquake.hazardlib.site.Site` of interest to calculate
disaggregation matrix for.
:param imt:
Instance of :mod:`intensity measure type <openquake.hazardlib.imt>`
class.
:param iml:
Intensity measure level. A float value in units of ``imt``.
:param gsim_by_trt:
Tectonic region type to GSIM objects mapping.
:param truncation_level:
Float, number of standard deviations for truncation of the intensity
distribution.
:param n_epsilons:
Integer number of epsilon histogram bins in the result matrix.
:param mag_bin_width:
Magnitude discretization step, width of one magnitude histogram bin.
:param dist_bin_width:
Distance histogram discretization step, in km.
:param coord_bin_width:
Longitude and latitude histograms discretization step,
in decimal degrees.
:param source_filter:
Optional source-site filter function. See
:mod:`openquake.hazardlib.calc.filters`.
:returns:
A tuple of two items. First is itself a tuple of bin edges information
for (in specified order) magnitude, distance, longitude, latitude,
epsilon and tectonic region types.
Second item is 6d-array representing the full disaggregation matrix.
Dimensions are in the same order as bin edges in the first item
of the result tuple. The matrix can be used directly by pmf-extractor
functions.
"""
trts = sorted(set(src.tectonic_region_type for src in sources))
trt_num = dict((trt, i) for i, trt in enumerate(trts))
rlzs_by_gsim = {gsim_by_trt[trt]: [0] for trt in trts}
cmaker = ContextMaker(rlzs_by_gsim, source_filter.integration_distance)
iml4 = make_iml4(1, {str(imt): iml})
by_trt = groupby(sources, operator.attrgetter('tectonic_region_type'))
bdata = {}
sitecol = SiteCollection([site])
for trt, srcs in by_trt.items():
bdata[trt] = collect_bin_data(
srcs, sitecol, cmaker, iml4, truncation_level, n_epsilons)
if sum(len(bd.mags) for bd in bdata.values()) == 0:
warnings.warn(
'No ruptures have contributed to the hazard at site %s'
% site, RuntimeWarning)
return None, None
min_mag = min(bd.mags.min() for bd in bdata.values())
max_mag = max(bd.mags.max() for bd in bdata.values())
mag_bins = mag_bin_width * numpy.arange(
int(numpy.floor(min_mag / mag_bin_width)),
int(numpy.ceil(max_mag / mag_bin_width) + 1))
min_dist = min(bd.dists.min() for bd in bdata.values())
max_dist = max(bd.dists.max() for bd in bdata.values())
dist_bins = dist_bin_width * numpy.arange(
int(numpy.floor(min_dist / dist_bin_width)),
int(numpy.ceil(max_dist / dist_bin_width) + 1))
bb = (min(bd.lons.min() for bd in bdata.values()),
min(bd.lats.min() for bd in bdata.values()),
max(bd.lons.max() for bd in bdata.values()),
max(bd.lats.max() for bd in bdata.values()))
lon_bins, lat_bins = lon_lat_bins(bb, coord_bin_width)
eps_bins = numpy.linspace(-truncation_level, truncation_level,
n_epsilons + 1)
bin_edges = (mag_bins, dist_bins, [lon_bins], [lat_bins], eps_bins)
matrix = numpy.zeros((len(mag_bins) - 1, len(dist_bins) - 1,
len(lon_bins) - 1, len(lat_bins) - 1,
len(eps_bins) - 1, len(trts)))
for trt in bdata:
dic = build_disagg_matrix(bdata[trt], bin_edges, sid=0)
if dic: # (poe, imt, rlzi) -> matrix
[mat] = dic.values()
matrix[..., trt_num[trt]] = mat
return bin_edges + (trts,), matrix
[docs]def mag_pmf(matrix):
"""
Fold full disaggregation matrix to magnitude PMF.
:returns:
1d array, a histogram representing magnitude PMF.
"""
nmags, ndists, nlons, nlats, neps = matrix.shape
mag_pmf = numpy.zeros(nmags)
for i in range(nmags):
mag_pmf[i] = numpy.prod(
[1. - matrix[i, j, k, l, m]
for j in range(ndists)
for k in range(nlons)
for l in range(nlats)
for m in range(neps)])
return 1. - mag_pmf
[docs]def dist_pmf(matrix):
"""
Fold full disaggregation matrix to distance PMF.
:returns:
1d array, a histogram representing distance PMF.
"""
nmags, ndists, nlons, nlats, neps = matrix.shape
dist_pmf = numpy.zeros(ndists)
for j in range(ndists):
dist_pmf[j] = numpy.prod(
[1. - matrix[i, j, k, l, m]
for i in range(nmags)
for k in range(nlons)
for l in range(nlats)
for m in range(neps)])
return 1. - dist_pmf
[docs]def trt_pmf(matrices):
"""
Fold full disaggregation matrix to tectonic region type PMF.
:param matrices:
a matrix with T submatrices
:returns:
an array of T probabilities one per each tectonic region type
"""
ntrts, nmags, ndists, nlons, nlats, neps = matrices.shape
pmf = numpy.zeros(ntrts)
for t in range(ntrts):
pmf[t] = 1. - numpy.prod(
[1. - matrices[t, i, j, k, l, m]
for i in range(nmags)
for j in range(ndists)
for k in range(nlons)
for l in range(nlats)
for m in range(neps)])
return pmf
[docs]def mag_dist_pmf(matrix):
"""
Fold full disaggregation matrix to magnitude / distance PMF.
:returns:
2d array. First dimension represents magnitude histogram bins,
second one -- distance histogram bins.
"""
nmags, ndists, nlons, nlats, neps = matrix.shape
mag_dist_pmf = numpy.zeros((nmags, ndists))
for i in range(nmags):
for j in range(ndists):
mag_dist_pmf[i, j] = numpy.prod(
[1. - matrix[i, j, k, l, m]
for k in range(nlons)
for l in range(nlats)
for m in range(neps)])
return 1. - mag_dist_pmf
[docs]def mag_dist_eps_pmf(matrix):
"""
Fold full disaggregation matrix to magnitude / distance / epsilon PMF.
:returns:
3d array. First dimension represents magnitude histogram bins,
second one -- distance histogram bins, third one -- epsilon
histogram bins.
"""
nmags, ndists, nlons, nlats, neps = matrix.shape
mag_dist_eps_pmf = numpy.zeros((nmags, ndists, neps))
for i in range(nmags):
for j in range(ndists):
for m in range(neps):
mag_dist_eps_pmf[i, j, m] = numpy.prod(
[1. - matrix[i, j, k, l, m]
for k in range(nlons)
for l in range(nlats)])
return 1. - mag_dist_eps_pmf
[docs]def lon_lat_pmf(matrix):
"""
Fold full disaggregation matrix to longitude / latitude PMF.
:returns:
2d array. First dimension represents longitude histogram bins,
second one -- latitude histogram bins.
"""
nmags, ndists, nlons, nlats, neps = matrix.shape
lon_lat_pmf = numpy.zeros((nlons, nlats))
for k in range(nlons):
for l in range(nlats):
lon_lat_pmf[k, l] = numpy.prod(
[1. - matrix[i, j, k, l, m]
for i in range(nmags)
for j in range(ndists)
for m in range(neps)])
return 1. - lon_lat_pmf
[docs]def lon_lat_trt_pmf(matrices):
"""
Fold full disaggregation matrices to lon / lat / TRT PMF.
:param matrices:
a matrix with T submatrices
:returns:
3d array. First dimension represents longitude histogram bins,
second one latitude histogram bins, third one trt histogram bins.
"""
res = numpy.array([lon_lat_pmf(mat) for mat in matrices])
return res.transpose(1, 2, 0)
[docs]def mag_lon_lat_pmf(matrix):
"""
Fold full disaggregation matrix to magnitude / longitude / latitude PMF.
:returns:
3d array. First dimension represents magnitude histogram bins,
second one -- longitude histogram bins, third one -- latitude
histogram bins.
"""
nmags, ndists, nlons, nlats, neps = matrix.shape
mag_lon_lat_pmf = numpy.zeros((nmags, nlons, nlats))
for i in range(nmags):
for k in range(nlons):
for l in range(nlats):
mag_lon_lat_pmf[i, k, l] = numpy.prod(
[1. - matrix[i, j, k, l, m]
for j in range(ndists)
for m in range(neps)])
return 1. - mag_lon_lat_pmf
# this dictionary is useful to extract a fixed set of
# submatrices from the full disaggregation matrix
pmf_map = collections.OrderedDict([
('Mag', mag_pmf),
('Dist', dist_pmf),
('TRT', trt_pmf),
('Mag_Dist', mag_dist_pmf),
('Mag_Dist_Eps', mag_dist_eps_pmf),
('Lon_Lat', lon_lat_pmf),
('Mag_Lon_Lat', mag_lon_lat_pmf),
('Lon_Lat_TRT', lon_lat_trt_pmf),
])