The conditional spectrum calculatorΒΆ

The conditional_spectrum calculator is an experimental calculator introduced in version 3.13, which is able to compute the conditional spectrum in the sense of Baker.

In order to perform a conditional spectrum calculation you need to specify (on top of the usual parameter of a classical calculation):

  1. a reference intensity measure type (i.e. imt_ref = SA(0.2))
  2. a cross correlation model (i.e. cross_correlation = BakerJayaram2008)
  3. a set of poes (i.e. poes = 0.01 0.1)

The engine will compute a mean conditional spectrum for each poe and site, as well as the usual mean uniform hazard spectra. The following restrictions are enforced:

  1. the IMTs can only be of type SA and PGA
  2. the source model cannot contain mutually exclusive sources (i.e. you cannot compute the conditional spectrum for the Japan model)

An example can be found in the engine repository, in the directory openquake/qa_tests_data/conditional_spectrum/case_1. If you run it, you will get something like the following:

$ oq engine --run job.ini
 id | name
261 | Full Report
262 | Hazard Curves
260 | Mean Conditional Spectra
263 | Realizations
264 | Uniform Hazard Spectra

Exporting the output 260 will produce two files conditional-spectrum-0.csv and conditional-spectrum-1.csv; the first will refer to the first poe, the second to the second poe. Each file will have a structure like the following:

 #,,,,"generated_by='OpenQuake engine 3.13.0-gitd78d717e66', start_date='2021-10-13T06:15:20', checksum=3067457643, imls=[0.99999, 0.61470], site_id=0, lon=0.0, lat=0.0"

The number of columns will depend from the number of sites. The conditional spectrum calculator, like the disaggregation calculator, is mean to be run on a very small number of sites, normally one. In this example there are two sites 0 and 1 and the columns val0 and val give the value of the conditional spectrum on such sites respectively, while the columns std0 and std1 give the corresponding standard deviations.

Conditional spectra for individual realizations are also computed and stored for debugging purposes, but they are not exportable.

The implementation was adapted from the paper Conditional Spectrum Computation Incorporating Multiple Causal Earthquakes and Ground-Motion Prediction Models by Ting Lin, Stephen C. Harmsen, Jack W. Baker, and Nicolas Luco ( and it is rather sophisticated. The core formula is implemented in the method openquake.hazardlib.contexts.get_cs_contrib.

The conditional_spectrum calculator, like the disaggregation calculator, is a kind of post-calculator, i.e. you can run a regular classical calculation and then compute the conditional_spectrum in post-processing by using the --hc option.